Summary
Glorious Monsoon 2025 to End on September 30 with Above-Normal Rainfall – The Monsoon 2025 season, India’s lifeline, is officially set to withdraw on September 30 after delivering above-normal rainfall for the second consecutive year. This strong performance of Monsoon 2025 has brought positive news for farmers, boosted agricultural output, and strengthened the rural economy. While some regions faced challenges due to extreme weather events like floods and landslides, the overall rainfall distribution has significantly enhanced India’s food security and agricultural prospects.
Monsoon 2025: Above-Normal Rainfall for the Second Year in a Row
The Southwest Monsoon 2025 will end with 7% excess rainfall across India compared to the long-period average (LPA). This is a remarkable achievement considering the varied weather conditions across the country.
- Northwest India: 28% excess rainfall
- Central India: 12% excess rainfall
- South Peninsula: 8% excess rainfall
- East & Northeast India: 19% deficient rainfall
Interestingly, Ladakh recorded an extraordinary 348% excess rainfall, while Rajasthan received 64% above normal rains. However, northeastern states like Arunachal Pradesh (-40%) and Assam (-31%) faced significant deficiencies.
Agriculture and Rural Economy Benefit from Strong Monsoon
An above-normal monsoon is always a blessing for India’s agriculture sector. With 87 cm as the long-period average, this year’s surplus rainfall ensures better kharif crop yields, improved groundwater recharge, and higher rural income. This directly boosts the rural economy, enhances food security, and supports industries dependent on agriculture.
Farmers are particularly optimistic, as last year also witnessed above-normal rains at 108% of LPA, though 2023 had been below normal at just 94% of LPA. This year’s timely and widespread monsoon showers have restored confidence in farming communities.
Extreme Weather Events: A Growing Concern
While the overall rainfall picture is positive, the uneven distribution and intensity of rains created challenges. Heavy downpours triggered landslides in hill states, while Punjab and parts of North India experienced devastating floods. Experts link this volatility to climate change and global warming, which make extreme weather events more frequent and severe.
Mahesh Palawat, Vice President at Skymet Weather, stressed that such extreme patterns are becoming the “new normal” during monsoon seasons.
Climate Factors Behind a Strong Monsoon
- Neutral ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) conditions
- Positive IOD (Indian Ocean Dipole) conditions
- Low snow cover over the Northern Hemisphere
- Multiple low-pressure systems interacting with western disturbances
These conditions collectively created a favorable environment for abundant rainfall across most of India.
A positive IOD, in particular, is known to strengthen the southwest monsoon, ensuring stronger-than-normal rainfall.
What’s Next: La Niña to Influence Winter Weather
Looking ahead, La Niña conditions are expected between October and December 2025. This phenomenon is associated with colder Pacific Ocean waters and generally results in:
- Above-average rainfall in India
- Stronger monsoon impact
- Colder winters compared to normal years
While El Niño often weakens India’s monsoon and increases summer heat, La Niña brings hope of continued favorable weather patterns. The official forecast for October–December will be released next week by the IMD.
Conclusion
The Glorious Monsoon 2025 to End on September 30 with Above-Normal Rainfall is both a boon for agriculture and the economy and a reminder of the challenges posed by climate change. While farmers celebrate better yields and improved groundwater levels, policymakers and scientists emphasize the need for climate resilience and disaster management to handle extreme events.
As India steps into the post-monsoon season, all eyes are now on La Niña’s impact on the coming winter and the next agricultural cycle.
Note: All information and images used in this content are sourced from Google. They are used here for informational and illustrative purposes only.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ) on Monsoon 2025
1. When will the Southwest Monsoon 2025 officially end in India?
The Southwest Monsoon 2025 will officially end on September 30, marking the close of the four-month rainy season that began on June 1.
2. How much rainfall did India receive during Monsoon 2025?
India recorded 7% above-normal rainfall this season compared to the long-period average (LPA). This is the second consecutive year of above-normal rains, following 108% of LPA in 2024.
3. Which regions received excess rainfall in 2025?
- Northwest India: 28% excess
- Central India: 12% excess
- South Peninsula: 8% excess
- Ladakh: 348% excess
- Rajasthan: 64% excess
4. Which regions faced rainfall deficiency this year?
The eastern and northeastern states were hit hardest, with Arunachal Pradesh recording a 40% deficiency and Assam a 31% deficiency. Overall, the region faced a 19% deficit.
5. How did above-normal rainfall impact agriculture and the economy?
The surplus rainfall boosted agricultural output, improved groundwater recharge, and strengthened the rural economy. However, uneven distribution also caused floods in Punjab and landslides in hill states, leading to significant human and economic losses.
6. What caused the above-normal monsoon in 2025?
According to the IMD, several large-scale climate factors contributed:
- Neutral ENSO (El Niño Southern Oscillation) conditions
- Positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)
- Low snow cover over the northern hemisphere
- Increased interaction of low-pressure systems with western disturbances
7. What is the role of IOD in strengthening the monsoon?
A positive IOD (Indian Ocean Dipole), where the western Indian Ocean is warmer than the eastern side, is typically linked to a stronger-than-normal southwest monsoon in India.
8. What is expected after the monsoon ends in 2025?
La Niña conditions are forecasted to develop between October and December 2025. This is expected to bring:
- Above-average rainfall
- Stronger winter monsoon showers
- Colder-than-normal winter conditions across many parts of India
9. How does La Nina differ from El Niño in India?
- El Niño: Associated with weaker monsoon and hotter summers in India.
- La Niña: Associated with stronger monsoon, above-average rainfall, and colder winters.
10. When will the IMD release the official forecast for the October–December period?
The India Meteorological Department (IMD) will issue its official October–December 2025 forecast next week, giving more clarity on the La Niña impact and post-monsoon conditions.